IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Artificial Intelligence and Automation 2023 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Artificial Intelligence and Automation 2023 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: Persistent Talent Gaps Will Drive 35% of IT Organizations to Invest in AI Skills by 2023, Both to Run Automated IT Operations and to Support Business End Users Adopting AI and Automation Solutions

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2026, AI-Driven Features Will Be Embedded Across Business Technology Categories, and 60% of Organizations Will Actively Use Such Features to Drive Better Outcomes Without Relying on Technical AI Talent

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: As AI Models Become Strategic, Model Risk and Governance Will Consume More Business Attention Until 2025, Then 60% of G2000 CFOs Will Incorporate AI Risks as Part of Their Enterprise Risk Programs

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2024, Most Organizations Will Leverage Codeless Development Tools for at Least 30% of Their AI and Automation Initiatives, Helping to Scale Digital Transformation and Democratize AI

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By 2026, Massive (>1 Trillion Parameter) Foundation Models (for NLP, AI-Generated Images, Etc.) Will Become Standard Industry Utilities Provided Only by the Largest Vendors

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2026, 40% of AI Models Will Incorporate Multiple Modalities of Data to Improve Learning Effectiveness and Address the Current Everyday Knowledge Shortcomings in Single-Modality AI Solutions

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: Driven by the Componentization of Applications and by Advancements in AI/ML, 25% of G2000 Companies Will Have AI-Assembled Applications by 2027, Disrupting Traditional Developer Roles

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: To Speed Automation Development and Maximize Benefit, by 2025, 50% of Organizations Will Adopt Intelligent Business Execution Strategies, Turbocharging All Aspects of the Automation Life Cycle with AI

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2026, 75% of Large Enterprises Will Rely on AI-Infused Processes to Enhance Asset Efficiency, Streamline Supply Chains, and Improve Product Quality Across Diverse and Distributed Environments

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: In Response to Sustainability and Economic Uncertainty Concerns, by 2024, 40% of the G2000 Will Adopt Tooling to Quantify, Predict, and Optimize the Cost Benefit of Their AI Life Cycle

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• Storms of Disruption — Accelerating, Interconnected Uncertainty

• Cybersecurity and Risk — Scaling and Evolving Threat Environment

• Economic Instability — Flurry, Snowball, or Avalanche?

• Global Supply Shock — Refocusing on Multisource and Resilience

• Digital Business — Stepping Stone to the Future Enterprise

• Meaningful Intelligence — Differentiated Decision Power

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• Related Research