IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security and Trust 2025 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security and Trust 2025 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: By 2027, 40% of Businesses Will Support DIY Security for Developers and Line-of-Business Application Owners Through AI-Enabled Automation of Security Policy Generation from Natural Language Commands

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2027, Only 35% of Consumer-Facing Companies Will Use AI-Powered IAM for Personalized, Secure User Experience Due to Continued Difficulties with Process Integration and Cost Concerns

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2026, Five Sovereign Countries Will Establish Data Embassies in the EU

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2028, Precipitated by AI BOM Requirements, 85% of Data Products Will Include a Data BOM Detailing Data Collection, Edits Made, Data Cleanup, and How Consent Was Obtained

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By 2025, the Same Evidentiary Requirements That Exist for Current Compliance Audits Will Extend to 100% of AI Products, Requiring Organizations to Demonstrate LLM Build and Exclusion of Sensitive Data

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2025, the EU and the G7 Will Adopt a Framework Allowing Individuals to Block the Use of PII in AI, Regulate Where That Information Can Be Geographically Stored, and Correct Erroneous Information

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2029, 50% of Organizations Will Use External Attack Surface Scan Data to Monitor Their Partners/Suppliers in an Effort to Understand Third-Party Risk

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: In 2025, 25% of Organizations Will Move from POC to Production in Specific GenAI Use Cases Without a Comprehensive Risk-Based Assessment of Their Trust Capabilities, Thus Creating a House of Cards

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2026, the Intersection of Data Privacy Regulations with Sustainability Initiatives Will Drive a 20% Increase in Demand for Certified Data Erasure Solutions and Services for Refurbished Devices

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, 66% of ESG Service Providers Will Add Managed ESG Services to Their Portfolios as an Option for Their Respective Clients to Outsource the Management of ESG Risk

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• AI-Driven Business Models — Moving from AI Experimentation to Monetization

• The Drive to Automate — Toward a Data-Driven Future

• Future Proofing Against Environmental Risks — ESG Operationalization and Risk Management

• Regulatory Flux — Navigating Compliance Challenges in a Shifting Policy Landscape

• Expanding Digital Security Frontiers — Fortification Against Multiplying Threats

• Geoeconomic Reordering — Rethinking Globalization, Supply Chains, and Macroeconomic Challenges

• Responsible and Human-Centric Technology — Ethics in the Enterprise

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• Related Research